Forecast evaluation at continental scale
Demonstrated that Hyper-CONUS v2 achieved lower four-lead mean RMSE than HRRR for 2024 2 m temperature and dew point. At observed ±5 K temperature anomalies, RMSE was 11.2% lower for warm cases and 16.3% lower for cold cases.
Built the matched verification pipeline across 702 initialization times and eight forecasting systems, scoring surface fields against URMA and precipitation against MRMS on native and common grids.
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